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2018-08-15 09:55
来源:网络
作者:上海新东方雅思
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The Triumph of Unreason
A.
Neoclassical economics is built on the assumption that humans are
rational beings who have a clear idea of their best interests and strive to
extract maximum benefit (or "utility", in economist-speak) from any
situation. Neoclassical economics assumes that the process of decision-making
is rational. But that contradicts growing evidence that decision-making draws
on the emotions—even when reason is
clearly involved.
B.
The role of emotions in decisions makes perfect sense. For
situations met frequently in the past, such as obtaining food and mates, and
confronting or fleeing from threats, the neural mechanisms required to weigh up
the pros and cons will have been honed by evolution to produce an optimal
outcome. Since emotion is the mechanism by which animals are prodded towards
such outcomes, evolutionary and economic theory predict the same practical
consequences for utility in these cases. But does this still apply when the
ancestral machinery has to respond to the stimuli of urban modernity?
C.
One of the people who thinks that it does not is George
Loewenstein, an economist at Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh. In
particular, he suspects that modern shopping has subverted the decision-making
machinery in a way that encourages people to run up debt. To prove the point he
has teamed up with two psychologists, Brian Knutson of Stanford University and
Drazen Prelec of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, to look at what
happens in the brain when it is deciding what to buy.
D.
In a study, the three researchers asked 26 volunteers to decide
whether to buy a series of products such as a box of chocolates or a DVD of the
television show that were flashed on a computer screen one after another. In
each round of the task, the researchers first presented the product and then
its price, with each step lasting four seconds. In the final stage, which also
lasted four seconds, they asked the volunteers to make up their minds. While
the volunteers were taking part in the experiment, the researchers scanned
their brains using a technique called functional magnetic resonance imaging
(fMRI). This measures blood flow and oxygen consumption in the brain, as an
indication of its activity.
E.
The researchers found that different parts of the brain were
involved at different stages of the test. The nucleus accumbens was the most
active part when a product was being displayed. Moreover, the level of its
activity correlated with the reported desirability of the product in question.
F.
When the price appeared, however, fMRI reported more activity in
other parts of the brain. Excessively high prices increased activity in the
insular cortex, a brain region linked to expectations of pain, monetary loss
and the viewing of upsetting pictures. The researchers also found greater
activity in this region of the brain when the subject decided not to purchase
an item.
G.
Price information activated the medial prefrontal cortex, too.
This part of the brain is involved in rational calculation. In the experiment
its activity seemed to correlate with a volunteer's reaction to both product
and price, rather than to price alone. Thus, the sense of a good bargain evoked
higher activity levels in the medial prefrontal cortex, and this often preceded
a decision to buy.
H.
People's shopping behaviour therefore seems to have piggy-backed
on old neural circuits evolved for anticipation of reward and the avoidance of
hazards. What Dr Loewenstein found interesting was the separation of the
assessment of the product (which seems to be associated with the nucleus
accumbens) from the assessment of its price (associated with the insular
cortex), even though the two are then synthesised in the prefrontal cortex. His
hypothesis is that rather than weighing the present good against future
alternatives, as orthodox economics suggests happens, people actually balance
the immediate pleasure of the prospective possession of a product with the
immediate pain of paying for it.
I.
That makes perfect sense as an evolved mechanism for trading. If
one useful object is being traded for another (hard cash in modern time), the
future utility of what is being given up is embedded in the object being
traded. Emotion is as capable of assigning such a value as reason. Buying on
credit, though, may be different. The abstract nature of credit cards, coupled
with the deferment of payment that they promise, may modulate the
"con" side of the calculation in favour of the "pro".
J.
Whether it actually does so will be the subject of further experiments
that the three researchers are now designing. These will test whether people
with distinctly different spending behaviour, such as miserliness and
extravagance, experience different amounts of pain in response to prices. They
will also assess whether, in the same individuals, buying with credit cards
eases the pain compared with paying by cash. If they find that it does, then
credit cards may have to join the list of things such as fatty and sugary
foods, and recreational drugs, that subvert human instincts in ways that seem
pleasurable at the time but can have a long and malign aftertaste.
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